In a little part of Western New York State, which has traditionally been a Republican Stronghold, an interesting event is unfolding.

The polls show a three party race of even odds between Democrat, Republican, and Tea Party candidates. When people tell me that the Tea Party are no threats to conservative, I can now point to New York's 26th Congressional seat election as my call to Arms.

Oh yes, Jack Davis is not a conservative based on his record, but the Tea Party Coalition group of Western New York endorses him. I am shocked by this endorsement and I am more shocked at how strong his poll numbers are.

Right now, the internal dispute within conservatism, I have been warning about for months is starting to flare into open conflict. NY-26 is the Republican equivalent of "Bleeding Kansas", the prelude for the American Civil War.

US Rep. John Boehmer and Sen. Eric Cantor have gone to shore up Republican support in the area, which was predominantly Republican to begin. NRCC, National Republican Congressional Committee, has thrown nearly half a million dollars into this fight to counter the "supposed" candidate Jack Davis.

RedState and Freedomworks are denouncing Jack Davis, but local grassroots are helping him. This election will be a real fight.

There are three outcomes from this conflict:

1. The Republican party wins the seat again, but it will be a victory soaked in sweat and tears as valuable resources will be redirected into defending a stronghold seat. There would be a long term repercussion for the GOP and a decision to be made whether or not to reform the platform in order to encompass more Tea Party favored ideas, it would be more doctrinal rather than operational shifts. I might not like the infection of Tea Party ideas into conservatism, but this scenario would probably be the least politically "bloody".

2. The Democratic candidate wins, an upset in a Republican Stronghold. Not a good sign for the coming election year. Finger pointing would ensue within the GOP and something much more drastic will have to be done. Simply put, Tea Party members could either reconcile or be eliminated in this scenario. This is a more extreme case of Scenario 1 with much more issues for shifts in conservative politics.

3. The Tea Party candidate, in name, will win. If it happens, then the GOP will have an issue of identity and irrelevance. If half a million dollars cannot win a former stronghold district, then the Tea Party will be truly emboldened into open runs on the House and Senate, heck in this scenario I would imagine Donald Trump picking up the Tea Party Banner in 2012 for Presidential run. If taken to the most extreme, it could mean the death of the GOP to be replaced by the disorganized Tea Party groups, ensuring a centralized Democratic dominance for a few decades.

At stake in this election is the heart of American Politics and American conservatism, the results will be shown on May 24th.

This is one special election to watch.