Is there going to be another Korean War?
Was looking at this for the last few days and thought I'd chime in on my blog. Kim jung un is reeling for a confrontation: testing nukes, tearing the armistice, and now threatening to cut diplomatic contact.
If war was to be fought against the North Korean military using their nuclear arms, should and can the US honor its 60 year old scenario of nuclear retaliation? What about the impact to the Pacific Rim?
Also what many don't see is the thousand pound elephant in the room, China, remains quiet. The Chinese has much to lose if a Nuclear regional war were to break near China's strategic reserves of Coal in Northeastern China. Currently, a large proportion of Chinese industrial power consumption is based off coal plants. If the region is irradiated, imagine what would happen to industrial capacity. China also has one other trump card in its hands, Kim Jung Il older son and former heir apparent to North Korea, who left his country after his younger brother's ascension. In the annals of history, including Chinese political history on foreign dynastic claims, fratricide for power is very common as a foreign policy move for China. (Not to say China might attempt that, but I do wonder why they would accept the older brother into the country. )
Beyond the potential cloak and dagger world of intrigue, we may see an end to the old Korean Standoff finally after 60 years, one way or another.
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