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Hard choices in life....everything has a cost


W_L

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From the little household budget of a thousand dollars a month to a small business with millions a month to a Corporation with billions a month to a nation with hundreds of billions a month, everyone makes hard choices.

 

An economy is not fair, not equal, and not even efficient, when you actually look deeper at it. Sure you can use plots and algorithms to figure out general Alphas to Delta trends that makes things easy to project and look smooth on the eyes, but human reasoning is not always rational, nor is long term planning. The problem with modern budgeting is that we make "assumption" and try to live by an "assumption" with "accuracy" being the quality indicator. Problem with projections, you can't predict the future without actually interfering with your operations or current expenses.

 

I want to buy a new computer right now, but do not want to pay financing over a long period of time. I shelled out $1,000.00. That's a personal finance decision, but it will also affect the future spending for the next few months. I need to save money for Christmas shopping in November, so in September and October, I am spending less on food products. Less meat and vegetables, more peanut butter and bread. I am also cutting out on my favorite treat, a Starbucks Mocha blend coffee.

 

Suppose others do the same, Starbucks will register a lower than expected monthly income statement and it starts to worry their senior management. They fear they cannot meet their budget "assumptions", so they choose to close down a few shops to reduce overhead costs. For them, they have to maintain profitability to stay in business and even meet obligations without having to dig too deeply into their bank loans and financing options.

 

Since Starbucks is closing down shops, local government are losing property taxes. They are worried about whether they can keep up their obligations towards law enforcement, teachers, and city workers. They start to panic a little as they cannot exceed their budget "assumptions", because they have no cash to work with and lending options are not great for municipal loans. They start firing people.

 

Around now, the State and Federal government is supposed to be getting their estimated income taxes for quarterly and normal payroll withholding. As Starbucks has cut down on workers and local government is cutting people, they are collecting less money. Since the federal government has an obligation to the states, they are going to face variances from people, business, and states.

 

Maintaining a budget is not easy, nor is it simple for any person or group. Living without a budget runs the risk of losing everything, but living with a budget restricts your choices to only methods of reduction in order to meet "budget".

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All true and you have some wise words about budgets and making choices and guarding against debt.  In your personal scenario, there is another part of the equation.

 

You put $1,000 into the economy thus enabling someone else, if not yourself, to buy mocha blend coffee.  If you got the computer at a retail store, that’s one more store that’s less likely to go out of business.  That might translate into a bonus or a raise for an employee on the floor who’s been selling a lot of computers or peripherals during their shift.  If you bought it online, you’re keeping those delivery drivers at Fedex or UPS in business.  If you financed the purchase, a bank is getting the benefit of interest payments and that all flows to their bottom line.

 

If that retail employee or driver at fedex or the drone working for the bank feel secure in their job, feel like business is good and they may even see a raise at their next performance review, they won’t be switching over to cheap drip coffee from their double mocha lattes anytime soon.  What’s more, if that retailer and UPS and Fedex and the bank post profits and issue dividends to their shareholders – more money into the economy!  Granted, not that many people hold individual stocks these days, but many of us are invested in banks and retail and shipping operations via mutual funds.  If my 401(k) mutual funds are going up and I see dividends being reinvested, I become optimistic that I might be able to retire at a reasonable age.  Heck, I might even head down to Starbucks and shell out some $$ for a pumpkin flavored fall drink.

 

The bigger concern would be if you and many others decided to cut back your spending without that outlay of $1,000.   Then the money is just disappearing from the economy altogether…and that’s when Starbucks start to close. 

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